The Cycle of Investor Emotion

Emotions can significantly impact investment decisions, often causing investors to panic and sell stocks at inopportune times.

Here is an illustration of the “cycle of investor emotion:”

The “cycle of investor emotion” demonstrates that as markets rise and investor emotions shift from optimism to euphoria, a savvy investor should become more cautious. Conversely, as markets decline and emotions turn to despondency, it presents a good investment opportunity.

However, we see the total opposite narrative taking place in equity flows as emotions tend to make investors abandon and reenter stocks at the worst times.

Main Takeaways

S&P 500 returns do exhibit some seasonality.

Over a rolling 20-year period
an investor has never lost
money with the S&P 500.

Your Wealth Management Team

Al Cumplido, CFA®

Marcin Krolikowski, PhD, CFA®